| Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy 1990 Edition Contributor(s): Funtowicz, S. O. (Author), Ravetz, J. R. (Author) |
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ISBN: 0792307992 ISBN-13: 9780792307990 Publisher: Springer OUR PRICE: $161.49 Product Type: Hardcover - Other Formats Published: October 1990 |
| Additional Information |
| BISAC Categories: - Political Science | Public Policy - Economic Policy - Social Science | Methodology - Business & Economics | Operations Research |
| Dewey: 300.1 |
| LCCN: 90-38778 |
| Series: Law in Eastern Europe |
| Physical Information: 0.73" H x 6.34" W x 9.6" (1.20 lbs) 231 pages |
| Descriptions, Reviews, Etc. |
| Publisher Description: 60 -I 137.0 29 ERROR BARS - tONE (1" \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \ Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ \ 20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1. Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer. Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers. There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts' guesses can be translated into mathematical form. |