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Computing Arbitrage-Free Yields in Multi-Factor Gaussian Shadow-Rate Term Structure Models
Contributor(s): Federal Reserve Board (Author)
ISBN: 1503223736     ISBN-13: 9781503223738
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
OUR PRICE:   $12.30  
Product Type: Paperback
Published: November 2014
Qty:
Additional Information
BISAC Categories:
- Business & Economics
Physical Information: 0.07" H x 8.5" W x 11.02" (0.24 lbs) 36 pages
 
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This paper develops a method to approximate arbitrage-free bond yields within a term structure model in which the short rate follows a Gaussian process censored at zero (a shadow-rate model as proposed by Black, 1995). The censoring ensures that model-implied yields are constrained to be positive, but it also introduces non-linearity that renders standard bond pricing formulas inapplicable. In particular, yields are not linear functions of the underlying state vector as they are in a ne term structure models (see Piazzesi, 2010). Existing approaches towards computing yields in shadow-rate models suffer from high computational burden or low accuracy. In contrast, I show that the technique proposed in this paper is sufficiently fast for single-step estimation of a three- factor shadow-rate term structure model, and sufficiently accurate to evaluate yields to within approximately half a basis point.