| European Energy Futures 2030: Technology and Social Visions from the European Energy Delphi Survey 2007 Edition Contributor(s): Wehnert, Timon (Author), López Araguás, Juan Pedro (Author), Bernardini, Oliviero (Author) |
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ISBN: 3540691642 ISBN-13: 9783540691648 Publisher: Springer OUR PRICE: $161.49 Product Type: Hardcover - Other Formats Published: February 2007 Annotation: The book summarizes the results of an international research project - the first Europe-wide Delphi study on future developments in the energy sector (EurEnDel). With a time horizon of 2030, this expert survey not only provides a useful perspective on long-term developments of energy technologies, but also evaluates these technologies against different sets of social values or "visions." Close to 700 energy experts from 48 countries participated in this two-round, web-based Delphi exercise. Thus the results represent a broad European perspective on the challenges that Europe's energy system will be facing over the next two and a half decades. In the survey and in the analysis of the results, equal emphasis was placed on the technology-push perspective "What will the future be like?" and the normative social-pull perspective "What should the future be like?." In this respect, considerable attention was given to the different responses received from technology experts, generalists and decision makers. The results of the Delphi study were interpreted on the background of three qualitative scenarios of Europe's energy futures up to the year 2030. In a world of uncertainties, EurEnDel recognized the impracticality of referring to a single energy scenario. For this reason it adapted the classical Delphi approach, employing a variety of foresight approaches both in the design phase and in the later analysis of the results The survey covers 20 emerging technologies from all parts of the energy system ranging from energy supply, grid and storage issues, and energy demand for transportation, housing and industry. The covered key technologies were assessed in terms of time horizons ofdevelopment, their potential impact and the means which are needed to support their development. |
| Additional Information |
| BISAC Categories: - Technology & Engineering | Electrical - Technology & Engineering | Power Resources - Alternative & Renewable - Law | Environmental |
| Dewey: 333.790 |
| LCCN: 2006938543 |
| Physical Information: 0.75" H x 6.33" W x 9.4" (1.25 lbs) 232 pages |
| Descriptions, Reviews, Etc. |
| Publisher Description: Foresight is a vital prerequisite in order to bring our current energy system onto the path of sustainable development. Which technologies may be available in 25 years from now? Which technologies will be needed in the future? The European Energy Delphi project - EurEnDel aimed at bri- ing orienting knowledge to these two questions. Trying to show a glimpse of European Energy Futures in the year 2030. This book contains the main results of the EurEnDel project. It includes the findings of the European Energy Delphi survey and the resulting recommendations for R&D policy. In comparison to other industry sectors, energy has two very remarkable features: For one, transformations are very slow. Life-times of power plants are 30 years and longer. Thus the decisions we take today will still have impacts 30 to 50 years from now - which makes sound foresight so important. On the other hand, the energy system is strongly dependent on national political decisions. Priority setting may change quite drastically with new parties coming to power, at least for individual country. This is one of the reasons, why predictions in the energy field can be extremely difficult. Combining these two characteristics it becomes evident why foresight in the energy field must not be restricted to an analysis of what the future could be like, but must always assess what the future should be like. This book tries to weave together these two traces which were inh- ent in the EurEnDel project. |
