| Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction Contributor(s): Keilis-Borok, Vladimir (Editor), Soloviev, Alexandre A. (Editor) |
|
 |
ISBN: 3642078060 ISBN-13: 9783642078064 Publisher: Springer OUR PRICE: $103.55 Product Type: Paperback - Other Formats Published: December 2010 |
| Additional Information |
| BISAC Categories: - Science | Physics - Geophysics - Science | Earth Sciences - Geology - Science | Physics - Mathematical & Computational |
| Dewey: 551.22 |
| Series: Springer Series in Synergetics |
| Physical Information: 0.74" H x 6.14" W x 9.21" (1.10 lbs) 337 pages |
| Descriptions, Reviews, Etc. |
| Publisher Description: The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly growing, rais- ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced by humankind. Earth- quake prediction is necessary to reduce that threat by undertaking disaster- preparedness measures. This is one of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires fundamental research. At the same time, prediction is a ma- jor tool of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final test of theories. This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in earthquake prediction. Its following aspects are considered: - Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they pro- vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction, given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes. Methodologies. At the heart of the research described here is the inte- gration of three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations; "universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific models of tectonic fault networks. In addition, the theory of optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with earthquake preparedness. |