| Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View 2011 Edition Contributor(s): Bijak, Jakub (Author), Wisniowski, Arkadiusz (Contribution by) |
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ISBN: 940073395X ISBN-13: 9789400733954 Publisher: Springer OUR PRICE: $104.49 Product Type: Paperback - Other Formats Published: December 2012 |
| Additional Information |
| BISAC Categories: - Social Science | Demography - Social Science | Emigration & Immigration - Mathematics | Probability & Statistics - General |
| Dewey: 304.6 |
| Series: The Springer Demographic Methods and Population Analysis |
| Physical Information: 0.71" H x 6.14" W x 9.21" (1.05 lbs) 316 pages |
| Descriptions, Reviews, Etc. |
| Publisher Description: International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications. |
